Record🤔

uri:

"at://did:plc:wvyq44vfj3m3mkw3slpr4lrf/app.bsky.feed.post/3l37qzpuh2524"

cid:

"bafyreibbcsfu6h4l6qs6fddecvnxxssixrixdikwpllja6ilwopki6k6ba"

value:

text:

"There's been coverage of research on the worst case scenario of a major heat wave + a prolonged power outage in Phoenix.

What's been less covered is that same study estimated the impact of a similar catastrophe on Detroit. The results are grim and getting grimmer 
pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/..."

$type:

"app.bsky.feed.post"

embed:

$type:

"app.bsky.embed.recordWithMedia"

media:

$type:

"app.bsky.embed.images"

images:

• alt:

  "We find a citywide loss of electrical power during a 5 day heat wave of historical intensity (Power Off scenario) to more than double the estimated rate of heat mortality in Atlanta and Detroit, where maximum outdoor and building-interior temperatures reach about 35 °C in the late afternoon and remain above a daily minimum temperature of 25 °C (Atlanta) or 22 °C (Detroit). In Phoenix, where the lowest daily high temperature over the 5 day heat wave is 43 °C and daily minimum temperatures average 32 °C, the rate of heat-related mortality increases by about 700% relative to the Power On scenario, reflecting the extremity of heat exposures in a desert city in the absence of mechanical AC. As reported in Figure 3, the estimated rate of heat-related mortality for the Power Off scenario in Phoenix is 917 (approximate total =13,250 deaths), which approaches 1% of the synthetic population. The estimated rate of heat-related mortality for comparable 5 day events in Atlanta and Detroit is 1.4 (t"

  image:

  

  View blob content

  $type:

  "blob"

  ref:

  $link:

  bafkreihi5bbnuvmzjqezy4gq3g6sc7drvusb2fcabkfrx5sjjchvujil4i

  mimeType:

  "image/jpeg"

  size:

  356784

  aspectRatio:

  width:

  863

  height:

  989

• alt:

  "Projected warming by middle (∼2055) and late (∼2085) century under the RCP 8.5 global emissions trajectory further amplifies estimated heat-related mortality, particularly by late century. In response to a mid-century heat wave of comparable intensity to the historical event modeled in the base period, the rate of heat-related mortality increases by 50% in Atlanta, 58% in Detroit, and 19% in Phoenix relative to the base period. By late century, the rate of heat-related mortality increases by 93%, 281%, and 104% in Atlanta, Detroit, and Phoenix, respectively. Relative to population size, which remains fixed at present-year levels for the future warming scenarios, the rate of heat mortality in Phoenix from a concurrent heat wave and blackout event is projected to exceed 1% of the total modeled population in mid-century and approach 2% of the population by late century."

  image:

  

  View blob content

  $type:

  "blob"

  ref:

  $link:

  bafkreiezor66zymznfkt3qxxeyw5ietfnxf3wg4rktywhjm4ubxaw3ys7u

  mimeType:

  "image/jpeg"

  size:

  298396

  aspectRatio:

  width:

  864

  height:

  813

record:

$type:

"app.bsky.embed.record"

record:

cid:

"bafyreiehlsparmljuibuxbvgc46tdfzsrvyw3adtxgtjdkg4th5eosuusy"

uri:

"at://did:plc:udw7u6r7lftxhof5xbz76x52/app.bsky.feed.post/3l3764txz4r27"

langs:

• "en"

facets:

• index:

  byteEnd:

  294

  byteStart:

  266

  features:

  • uri:

    "https://pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/acs.est.2c09588#"

    $type:

    "app.bsky.richtext.facet#link"

createdAt:

"2024-09-03T02:23:48.754Z"